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Will 2013 be the year that craft beer plateaus?

Discussion in 'Beer Talk' started by StoutLover4life, Jan 3, 2013.


Will Craft beers expansion finally plateau in 2013?

  1. yes

    22 vote(s)
  2. no

    171 vote(s)
  1. StoutLover4life

    StoutLover4life Initiate (0) Dec 13, 2012

    ? I'm not sure if you meant to be insulting or not but I guess I'll take it with a grain of salt.
  2. icetrauma

    icetrauma Advocate (555) Texas Sep 7, 2004

    Plateau no. In my area, Houston, the craft beer scene is growing in leaps and bounds. New brewery's are continuing to pop up along with new craft centered beer bars complete with growler fills. It's a great time to be a Texan, well, that's all the time. :D Last year Dallas got Ballast Point and this month they are expanding to Austin and Houston. Later on this year we are rumored to get Southern Tier and Firestone-Walker have already confirmed distribution to Austin and Dallas for this year.
  3. sm0key

    sm0key Savant (325) Michigan Apr 24, 2009

    Man, that may be the quote of the week for me!
    WassailWilly likes this.
  4. This only works if you use a high end BMC ( nobody in my area likes bud or drinks it). If you consider cheaper beers such as miller high life and pbr and also consider a lot of people are drinking this beer while out at a bar, BMC is cheaper. Take in point a local hipster bar in my town known as the baby bar. You can almost always get a 16 oz pbr for two dollars and on wednesdays, make that one dollar. Pbr is like what 4.5 percent alcohol? So you have a local micro craft stout on tap that is like 7 percent? and it sets you back 5? Thats over twice the value ( if you dont care about anything other than inebriation ) for your dollar and over four times the value on wednesdays.
  5. kzoobrew

    kzoobrew Champion (870) Michigan May 8, 2006

    Not meant to be insulting, just when many talk about the future of craft beer they look at a very small window. My response was directed towards that trend just as much as it was towards the original post. A lot of us know a lot about beer but very little about the industry from a business side. We can speculate but are largely inadequate at painting are accurate picture.
    StoutLover4life likes this.
  6. StoutLover4life

    StoutLover4life Initiate (0) Dec 13, 2012

    Okay I understand. Are you in distribution, selling, or production?
  7. LarryAppleton

    LarryAppleton Savant (360) Quebec (Canada) Dec 1, 2012 Beer Trader

  8. Steimie

    Steimie Advocate (590) Michigan Jan 7, 2012

    None of the above. He's in Michigan.
    YogiBeer likes this.
  9. black13

    black13 Savant (475) Oregon Apr 11, 2010 Beer Trader

    Lets see, off the top of my head I can name the following that I'm sure are making a profit:

    Hair of the Dog
    Fire on the Mountain
    Full Sail
    Lucky Lab
    New Old Lompoc
  10. sm0key

    sm0key Savant (325) Michigan Apr 24, 2009

    What does that mean?
    StoutLover4life likes this.
  11. Lucidious

    Lucidious Initiate (0) California Nov 15, 2012

    You're arguing a point that is unrelated to mine. My point was that because beer is consumable it will always be a growing market (so long as population trends continue, which is more than likely) and that like the dot-com in particular, parties who do not fully understand the market may actually be able to gain a temporary foothold until such time that the "supply" is so beyond the demand that said breweries can not survive (being outweighed by the higher quality suppliers [i.e. google, ebay, facebook; stone, three floyds, russian river, etc.]). Knowing when such a nexus, node or bubble burst occurs is irrelevant, the point is that we don't have to worry about craft brew "plateauing".
  12. DaKur

    DaKur Savant (400) Rhode Island Nov 15, 2012

    If the wine market can continue to grow the beer market will to. Beer is the new wine.
  13. Breakfast Stout being easy to find this year isn't exactly scientific proof that craft beer has plateaued. Founders has expanded since last year and is expanding more this year in output. They are trying to have their speciality beers for at least 2 months except for the limited devil dancer and KBS
  14. Bay01

    Bay01 Savant (455) Illinois Nov 19, 2008

    The former is correct, the latter is not.

  15. OP-No I dont think so. I have alot of friends who are fairly indifferent to the ber they drink and they recognize the difference in quality and taste and often purchase craft beer as well as BMC. They often seek me out to tell me of a new beer they tried that they liked. Americans taste for flavorful beer is just warming up IMO.
  16. evilcatfish

    evilcatfish Advocate (690) Missouri May 11, 2012 Beer Trader

    I always question these statistics
  17. TheRealPour

    TheRealPour Advocate (615) Illinois Jan 29, 2009 Beer Trader

    Nah, my beer buddies and I often have this conversation and we tend to agree that the good craft breweries will simply become medium-to-large sized craft breweries. Most would likely agree that America is still recovering from Prohibition. Distribution will expand to satisfy demand and local breweries will continue to have the freshness advantage. Macros will continue be forced to introduce better beers and/or buy micros and mass-market. The days are dwindling, however, when anyone with some venture capital and a couple staple beer recipes can make money hand over fist (even if they continue to go directly to can for implied 'craftiness'). The poor brewers will step up their act or fall by the wayside and we'll all benefit either way.

    As long as craft coffee roasters can continue to open up on every corner here in Chicago I don't see any reason why small breweries can't do the same.
  18. dickieb

    dickieb Initiate (0) Rhode Island Mar 26, 2006

    Whale's will Plateau. I believe craft beer in general will continue to flourish.