Will 2013 be the year that craft beer plateaus?

Discussion in 'Beer Talk' started by StoutLover4life, Jan 3, 2013.


Will Craft beers expansion finally plateau in 2013?

  1. yes

    22 vote(s)
  2. no

    171 vote(s)
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  1. icetrauma

    icetrauma Devotee (483) Sep 7, 2004 Texas

    Plateau no. In my area, Houston, the craft beer scene is growing in leaps and bounds. New brewery's are continuing to pop up along with new craft centered beer bars complete with growler fills. It's a great time to be a Texan, well, that's all the time. :grinning: Last year Dallas got Ballast Point and this month they are expanding to Austin and Houston. Later on this year we are rumored to get Southern Tier and Firestone-Walker have already confirmed distribution to Austin and Dallas for this year.
  2. sm0key

    sm0key Initiate (0) Apr 24, 2009 Michigan

    Man, that may be the quote of the week for me!
    WassailWilly likes this.
  3. devlishdamsel

    devlishdamsel Initiate (0) Aug 1, 2009 Washington

    This only works if you use a high end BMC ( nobody in my area likes bud or drinks it). If you consider cheaper beers such as miller high life and pbr and also consider a lot of people are drinking this beer while out at a bar, BMC is cheaper. Take in point a local hipster bar in my town known as the baby bar. You can almost always get a 16 oz pbr for two dollars and on wednesdays, make that one dollar. Pbr is like what 4.5 percent alcohol? So you have a local micro craft stout on tap that is like 7 percent? and it sets you back 5? Thats over twice the value ( if you dont care about anything other than inebriation ) for your dollar and over four times the value on wednesdays.
  4. kzoobrew

    kzoobrew Meyvn (1,167) May 8, 2006 Michigan

    Not meant to be insulting, just when many talk about the future of craft beer they look at a very small window. My response was directed towards that trend just as much as it was towards the original post. A lot of us know a lot about beer but very little about the industry from a business side. We can speculate but are largely inadequate at painting are accurate picture.
    StoutLover4life likes this.
  5. StoutLover4life

    StoutLover4life Initiate (0) Dec 13, 2012

    Okay I understand. Are you in distribution, selling, or production?
  6. LarryAppleton

    LarryAppleton Initiate (169) Dec 1, 2012 Quebec (Canada)
    Beer Trader

  7. Steimie

    Steimie Initiate (0) Jan 7, 2012 Michigan

    None of the above. He's in Michigan.
    YogiBeer likes this.
  8. black13

    black13 Disciple (306) Apr 11, 2010 Oregon
    Beer Trader

    Lets see, off the top of my head I can name the following that I'm sure are making a profit:

    Hair of the Dog
    Fire on the Mountain
    Full Sail
    Lucky Lab
    New Old Lompoc
  9. sm0key

    sm0key Initiate (0) Apr 24, 2009 Michigan

    What does that mean?
    StoutLover4life likes this.
  10. fujindemon74

    fujindemon74 Initiate (0) Nov 7, 2012 Pennsylvania

  11. Lucidious

    Lucidious Initiate (0) Nov 15, 2012 California

    You're arguing a point that is unrelated to mine. My point was that because beer is consumable it will always be a growing market (so long as population trends continue, which is more than likely) and that like the dot-com in particular, parties who do not fully understand the market may actually be able to gain a temporary foothold until such time that the "supply" is so beyond the demand that said breweries can not survive (being outweighed by the higher quality suppliers [i.e. google, ebay, facebook; stone, three floyds, russian river, etc.]). Knowing when such a nexus, node or bubble burst occurs is irrelevant, the point is that we don't have to worry about craft brew "plateauing".
  12. DaKur

    DaKur Initiate (0) Nov 15, 2012 Rhode Island

    If the wine market can continue to grow the beer market will to. Beer is the new wine.
  13. MortalKombat14

    MortalKombat14 Initiate (0) Oct 2, 2012 Michigan

    Breakfast Stout being easy to find this year isn't exactly scientific proof that craft beer has plateaued. Founders has expanded since last year and is expanding more this year in output. They are trying to have their speciality beers for at least 2 months except for the limited devil dancer and KBS
  14. Bay01

    Bay01 Aspirant (278) Nov 19, 2008 Illinois

    The former is correct, the latter is not.

  15. bulldogbrewhaus

    bulldogbrewhaus Initiate (0) Sep 17, 2012 Virginia

    OP-No I dont think so. I have alot of friends who are fairly indifferent to the ber they drink and they recognize the difference in quality and taste and often purchase craft beer as well as BMC. They often seek me out to tell me of a new beer they tried that they liked. Americans taste for flavorful beer is just warming up IMO.
  16. evilcatfish

    evilcatfish Defender (629) May 11, 2012 Missouri
    Beer Trader

    I always question these statistics
  17. TheRealPour

    TheRealPour Disciple (345) Jan 29, 2009 Illinois
    Beer Trader

    Nah, my beer buddies and I often have this conversation and we tend to agree that the good craft breweries will simply become medium-to-large sized craft breweries. Most would likely agree that America is still recovering from Prohibition. Distribution will expand to satisfy demand and local breweries will continue to have the freshness advantage. Macros will continue be forced to introduce better beers and/or buy micros and mass-market. The days are dwindling, however, when anyone with some venture capital and a couple staple beer recipes can make money hand over fist (even if they continue to go directly to can for implied 'craftiness'). The poor brewers will step up their act or fall by the wayside and we'll all benefit either way.

    As long as craft coffee roasters can continue to open up on every corner here in Chicago I don't see any reason why small breweries can't do the same.
  18. dickieb

    dickieb Disciple (302) Mar 26, 2006 Rhode Island

    Whale's will Plateau. I believe craft beer in general will continue to flourish.
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