Trade Value Thread (TVT) Quarter 4 2018

Discussion in 'Trade Talk' started by blkhawk14, Oct 2, 2018.

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  1. gudbrande

    gudbrande Pundit (962) Jul 10, 2009 Minnesota
    Society Trader

    Black Gold for '16 Dark Lord+? Or closer to 2 DL for 1 BG? I'm ISO BG.
     
  2. cmukid87

    cmukid87 Initiate (0) Jan 30, 2017 Michigan
    Trader

    I think value you are there. Just need someone who has high interest in barrel theory.
     
  3. cmukid87

    cmukid87 Initiate (0) Jan 30, 2017 Michigan
    Trader

    It is close. Always the "right set or eyes" is in play. Seems like most with Coco vibes are looking for volume of really good beers (see trade for 16/17/18 prop) or looking to package and trade up.
     
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  4. jheimbigner

    jheimbigner Maven (1,342) Apr 18, 2015 Washington
    Trader

    Would a 2016 Damon pull 2x 2018 Damon? Or would the 2016 side need a plus?
     
  5. miniditka77

    miniditka77 Pundit (953) May 21, 2015 Illinois
    Trader

    How do non-BA Angry Chair stouts usually trade around the midwest (Chicago)? IGCC or Peanut/Marshmallow Popinski is my preference, but others might work. Is offering a Prop '18 1:1 close to a fair deal?
     
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  6. putonyourwalkingshoes

    putonyourwalkingshoes Pooh-Bah (1,574) Jul 31, 2013 California
    Pooh-Bah Trader

    I don't think we are in that much of a disagreement. I'd wholeheartedly agree with the sweetheart deal. Ive completely lost sight of ever having a chance landing a gunmetal but with such few left in the wild (what i would imagine) the value has gotta be swinging wildly. But yeah, I was having buyers remorse on morning delight and this guy could be throwing them around like extras. Uphill CA battle ugh...
     
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  7. putonyourwalkingshoes

    putonyourwalkingshoes Pooh-Bah (1,574) Jul 31, 2013 California
    Pooh-Bah Trader

    Prop 18 is looking like the most desirable of the bourbon counties this year. I think you're right on maybe a bit over for the IGCCS.
     
    atl_mandm, miniditka77 and Rustytacos like this.
  8. spersichilli

    spersichilli Initiate (0) Apr 26, 2018 California
    Trader

    Personally I’d need a small plus on your side for IGCCS, even for PBM popinski. IGCCS trades better than most BA stouts
     
    miniditka77 likes this.
  9. croush

    croush Pooh-Bah (2,407) Mar 20, 2015 Illinois
    Pooh-Bah Trader

    What do people think of Prop 18 and Henna b4 for Cloud Daggers and Paisley Cave Complex?
     
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  10. miniditka77

    miniditka77 Pundit (953) May 21, 2015 Illinois
    Trader

    Glad to know I'm in the right ballpark. Thanks for the input!
     
  11. LuckyOneSix

    LuckyOneSix Zealot (674) Aug 11, 2013 Pennsylvania
    Trader

    Curious if an (18' Vanilla BCS + FOb4 + Sunday Brunch) would be enough to get a '17 or '18 Fou Foune. Thoughts?
     
  12. jheimbigner

    jheimbigner Maven (1,342) Apr 18, 2015 Washington
    Trader

    I think that should close. I have seen multiple trades close fou for 2x 18' bcbvs, and seen FOb4 1:1 for bcbvs. Adding in the Sunday brunch is a nice ganache icing on top
     
  13. LuckyOneSix

    LuckyOneSix Zealot (674) Aug 11, 2013 Pennsylvania
    Trader

    Alright, gonna give it a go. Thanks
     
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  14. putonyourwalkingshoes

    putonyourwalkingshoes Pooh-Bah (1,574) Jul 31, 2013 California
    Pooh-Bah Trader

    PCC is looking pretty easy to land so with either of yours that should be very easy to land. Cloud Daggers was supposed to make it to public but the league/theory members bought it out so you're at their mercy although since you're not trading other CA beer this should be doable. Looks pretty right on the money to me. Loved henna b3 so if b4 is anything like it the other party is in good hands.
     
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  15. croush

    croush Pooh-Bah (2,407) Mar 20, 2015 Illinois
    Pooh-Bah Trader

    Yeah, I had done some research and this looked pretty much on the money. I knew Cloud Daggers didn't make it to the public (which I was bummed about), but figured that since there was a plan for MT to have it hit public, that may mean there is a decent amount out there (even if it is just in more centralized hands now).
     
    putonyourwalkingshoes likes this.
  16. wxmanify

    wxmanify Aspirant (265) Jun 26, 2017 Colorado
    Trader

    Any of these close?

    BAIGCCS OR Handjee for: 2x PBC Noche+BB Noche (1:3)
    BAA for: PBC Noche+BB Noche (1:2)

    I could add ten fidy variants to help push any of these over the edge.
     
  17. Aetherbulb

    Aetherbulb Zealot (527) Oct 10, 2014 Texas
    Trader

    1:1 or a small plus no the BCBS Vanilla
     
  18. cmukid87

    cmukid87 Initiate (0) Jan 30, 2017 Michigan
    Trader

    Will need a plus on your end I'd imagine. I don't think BA Ten Fidy/Variants will get it done, though.
     
  19. Revolution76

    Revolution76 Initiate (0) Aug 27, 2018 Massachusetts
    Trader

    Is BAIGCCS b2 with a plus like Reserve ‘17 enough for a BBT b2, or am I still going to need to add?
     
  20. Thrillhouse82

    Thrillhouse82 Zealot (548) Sep 14, 2014 Wisconsin
    Trader

    What kind of ratios would you estimate some of the recent BA Transient releases (Buckley deviants, BA Cake offerings, past/upcoming Neckbeards) to the NON BA Angry Chair offerings? I'm on the Transient side. Top 3 I'm looking into are IGCCS, Moon Butter, and PBM Popinski. Seems like Adjunct Trail, Wilfred, and Sloth Loves Coffee are trading a bit higher than those, or not? Any kind of starting point would help. Thanks!
     
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